April 14, 2025

Energy Market Update

This market update includes a natural gas storage update, electric and natural gas price movement, and a weather outlook. By utilizing this information, you can make better-informed energy decisions. This is general information to give you a quick summary of the market, please contact the energy solutions team at Mantis Innovation for additional information.  Additionally, you can get these updates sent to your inbox weekly by signing up here.

 

Natural Gas

The amount of natural gas available for usage is very important in the energy industry because, among other things, it is used for heating, and as a main fuel source for generating electricity at power plants to be consumed by both homes and businesses. By comparing current levels of natural gas storage to the levels of last year and the past five years, an assessment as to the state of natural gas supplies to meet demand can be made.

Final estimates for week ending 4/4/25 were for an injection in the 57 to 58 Bcf range.

The total net injection was in line with the final estimates, with 57 Bcf being put into storage. 

Storage is now 450 Bcf below last year, and 40 Bcf below the 5-year average, which is within the 5-year historical range.

 

Henry Hub

Henry Hub Wholesale Calendar Year 2026 future prices started just below the 52-week average in April last year. From there, future prices moved up to hit a high point a little above the 52-week average at the end of April. Following that, future prices started a large crash that continued down until establishing the new 52-week low at the beginning of August, which future prices continued to range closer to until November. Next, future prices started a huge rally that continued up with some dips along the way until establishing the new 52-week high in mid-March. Recently, future prices have had a small crash, and they are now closer to the midpoint of the 52-week average and high. Currently, Henry Hub prices are down about 7.1% from March 19th’s 52-week high, which is above the average by around 8.5%.
 

Henry Hub Wholesale Calendar Year 2026 Week to Week Fluctuation ($/Therm)

The graphs above show the price movement of the Calendar Year 2026 Henry Hub Wholesale Natural Gas over various periods of time. The price of the calendar year is shown on the left y-axis in relation to the date of the pricing on the bottom x-axis. On the 52-week and short-term graphs, you can see the minimum, maximum, and average price of the past 52 weeks indicated by the gray lines.

 

Algonquin City Gate

Algonquin Wholesale Calendar Year 2026 future prices started below the 52-week average in April last year. From there, future prices moved up to a high point a little above the 52-week average at the end of April. Following that, future prices started a long crash that continued down until establishing the new 52-week low at the start of November. Next, future prices started a huge rally that continued up until establishing the new 52-week high in mid-February. Recently, future prices have crashed down to be close to the 52-week average. Currently, Algonquin prices are down about 9.7% from February 19th’s 52-week high, which is above the average by around 1.9%.
 

Algonquin Wholesale Calendar Year 2026 Week to Week Fluctuation ($/Therm)

The graphs above show the price movement of Calendar Year 2026 Algonquin Wholesale Naural Gas over various periods of time. The price of the calendar year is shown on the left y-axis in relation to the date of the pricing on the bottom x-axis. On the 52-week and short-term graphs, you can see the minimum, maximum, and average prices of the past 52 weeks indicated by the gray lines.

 

ISO-NE

ISO-NE Wholesale Internal Hub Around-the-Clock Calendar Year 2026 future prices started below the 52-week average in April last year. From there, future prices first had a rally above the 52-week average into mid-April, and then a crash back below the average into June, before they rallied up further to be slightly closer to the 52-week high in July. Following that, future prices started a large crash that continued down until establishing the new 52-week low at the beginning of November. Next, future prices started a huge rally that continued up until establishing the new 52-week high in late February. Recently, future prices have crashed down to be close to the 52-week average. Currently, ISO-NE prices are down about 8.5% from February 21st’s 52-week high, which is above the average by around 0.6%.
 

ISO-NE Internal Hub ATC DA Wholesale Calendar Year 2026 Week to Week Fluctuation ($/kWh)

The graphs above show the price movement of Calendar Year 2026 ISO-NE Internal Hub ATC DA Wholesale Electricity over various periods of time. The price of the calendar year is shown on the left y-axis in relation to the date of the pricing on the bottom x-axis. On the 52-week and short-term graphs, you can see the minimum, maximum, and average prices of the past 52 weeks indicated by the gray lines.

 

TETCO-M3

TETCO-M3 Wholesale Calendar Year 2026 future prices started just below the 52-week average in April last year. From there, future prices moved up to hit a high point a little above the 52-week average at the end of April. Following that, future prices started a large crash that continued down until establishing the new 52-week low in mid-October. Next, future prices started a huge rally that continued up until establishing the new 52-week high in mid-March. Recently, future prices have had a small crash, and they are now closer to the midpoint of the 52-week average and high. Currently, TETCO-M3 prices are down about 7.4% from March 11th’s 52-week high, which is above the average by around 10%.
 

TETCO-M3 Wholesale Calendar Year 2026 Week to Week Fluctuation ($/Therm)

 The graphs above show the price movement of Calendar Year 2026 TETCO-M3 Wholesale Naural Gas over various periods of time. The price of the calendar year is shown on the left y-axis in relation to the date of the pricing on the bottom x-axis. On the 52-week and short-term graphs, you can see the minimum, maximum, and average prices of the past 52 weeks indicated by the gray lines.

 

PJM Western Hub

PJM Wholesale Western Hub Around-the-Clock Calendar Year 2026 future prices started above the 52-week average in April last year. From there, future prices rallied up until establishing the new 52-week high in mid-April. Following that, future prices started a huge crash that continued down until establishing the new 52-week low in mid-September. Next, future prices started a large rally that hit a high point closer to the 52-week high at the end of March. Recently, future prices have had a small crash, and they are now closer to the 52-week average. Currently, PJM prices are down about 7.5% from April 16th’s 52-week high, which is above the average by around 3.9%.
 

PJM Western Hub ATC DA Wholesale Calendar Year 2026 Week to Week Fluctuation ($/kWh)

 The graphs above show the price movement of Calendar Year 2026 PJM Western Hub ATC DA Wholesale Electricity over various periods of time. The price of the calendar year is shown on the left y-axis in relation to the date of the pricing on the bottom x-axis. On the 52-week and short-term graphs, you can see the minimum, maximum, and average prices of the past 52 weeks indicated by the gray lines.

 

Houston Ship Channel

Houston Ship Channel Wholesale Calendar Year 2026 future prices started a little above the 52-week average in April last year. From there, future prices continued to range a little above the 52-week average until the end of June. Following that, future prices started a large crash that continued down until establishing the new 52-week low in mid-September, which future prices continued to range close to into the start of November. Next, future prices started a huge rally that continued up with some dips along the way until establishing the new 52-week high in mid-March. Recently, future prices have had a small crash, and they are now closer to the midpoint of the 52-week average and high. Currently, HSC prices are down about 6.8% from March 19th’s 52-week high, which is above the average by around 10.4%.
 

Houston Ship Channel Wholesale Calendar Year 2026 Week to Week Fluctuation ($/Therm)

The graphs above show the price movement of Calendar Year 2026 Houston Ship Channel Wholesale Naural Gas over various periods of time. The price of the calendar year is shown on the left y-axis in relation to the date of the pricing on the bottom x-axis. On the 52-week and short-term graphs, you can see the minimum, maximum, and average prices of the past 52 weeks indicated by the gray lines.

 

ERCOT Houston 

ERCOT Houston Load Zone Around-the-Clock Calendar Year 2026 future prices started near the 52-week average in April last year. From there, future prices rallied up to hit a high point close to the 52-week high at the start of June. Following that, future prices started a large crash that continued down until establishing the new 52-week low at the start of September, which future prices continued to range closer to into November. Next, future prices started a huge rally that continued up with some dips along the way until establishing the new 52-week high in mid-March. Recently, future prices have had a small crash, and they are now closer to the 52-week average. Currently, Houston prices are down about 8.2% from March 19th’s 52-week high, which is above the average by around 6.3%.

 

ERCOT Houston Load Zone ATC RT Wholesale Calendar Year 2026 Week to Week Fluctuation ($/kWh)

The graphs above show the price movement of Calendar Year 2026 ERCOT Houston Load Zone ATC RT Wholesale Electricity over various periods of time. The price of the calendar year is shown on the left y-axis in relation to the date of the pricing on the bottom x-axis. On the 52-week and short-term graphs, you can see the minimum, maximum, and average prices of the past 52 weeks indicated by the gray lines.

 

General Disclaimer: This information is provided as a courtesy to our clients and/or potential clients and should not be construed as an offer to sell or as a solicitation of an offer to buy securities based on, or contracts in or for, any energy commodity. Mantis Innovation does not sell electricity and/or natural gas, and as such, the actual terms and conditions of competitive supply are solely provided for by the competitive supplier’s contract with the client. Reliance on this information for decisions is done so at the sole risk of the reader and past performance is not indicative of future results. This information is provided as a general description of various electricity and/or natural gas purchasing strategies that may be decided upon by our clients. Both clients and potential clients should consider their individual circumstances and other sources of available information before arriving at a decision. Graphs and charts are for illustrative purposes only.

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